Will I break this crank?

It's not a matter of affording it. I just don't like wasting money. If it's unlikely I'll break the crank, I'll chance it. It's like my lug nut analogy. You don't want your wheel coming off, so why not use 10 studs per wheel. Because 5 studs have worked well. Why spend money that you don't have to?

frankly, that thinking usually will end up getting in your wallet more.
475 horse plus spray…forged….just do it right the first time