Soĺ Cal fires

Yes, exactly why my posts previous to the one you cherry picked stated that I recommend everyone get out of the way of a wind driven fire and draw a bigger box.

Don't make me think of you a fool. It is an elfin Forest and has timber (Mt. Laguna, Palomar Mt., Pine Vally, Cuymaca .......). For those that don't know what an elfin Forest is. Ladder fuels are ladder fuels. Manzanita, Sumac, ...... all susceptible to running crown fires. There is no part of the Cleveland National Forest that is actual desert. The Cleveland is littered with gorilla brush double overhead high, Manzanita, Sumac, Ceonothus conversions from timber (Cedar and Chariot Fires), and multiple Santa Ana prone drainages that run desert to coast.
Study the Cedar fire for just a second. How about Hauser Creek Fire. Inaja Fire ring a bell? Witch Creek Fire (44 !!! firefighters injured with shelter deployments). What did all these STAFF RIDE fires have in common? I'll spare you. Santa Ana fires that ripped through aligned drainages and killed near two dozen firefighters and a lot of public.
Remember, the Cedar Fire was Californias largest wildland fire up until 2017. It's the sixth deadliest, ninth largest and, fourth most destructive fire in California history. Now, 5th because of the Palisades and it barely tops it.

Ok. Study the Cedar Fire. exposures are not EXPONENTIALLY lower. They are fewer however that means more wildland/urban interface. The fire is going to drive toward the ocean whether it's L ******* A or the many small communities that make up San Diego County's foot hills leading to the ocean. I would argue that it's more of a chance to have firefighter loss of life in Santa Ana driven fires in wildland/urban interface than the same fire and winds in an Oakland Hills scenario, or a Palisades scenario.
Of the three Cleveland NF fires they have body count of over 36 and 22 of those were firefighters. Tell them that the Cleveland's east wind don't rip as bad as any other.

You're way short sighted on what I initially said and doubled down with your absurd claims and comparisons of a forest you have surely never fought fire in. Enlighten me with your vast knowledge of my local response area.

I hope we can still be friends but, c'mon. Santa Ana winds don't care. If it's an east/west drainage the fire is going to try like hell to get to the ocean. The San Diego River Drainage is 430 square miles and 52 miles long. It runs from the desert (BLM land!) to San Diego beaches. When conditions are ripe it will rip, anywhere from the LP to the Cleveland.

Thank you for making my point! Santa Ana winds don't care and not even a 6 lane freeway for a fire break works in those kinds of conditions.

There are absolutely NO "fuel management" projects that are going to do a damn thing in the face of 70+ mph winds that are aligned with topography. None of the firefighters that have DIED on the Cleveland would have been saved by "fuels management". As I'm sure you know all of those incidents are part of yearly firefighter refresher training, I've read about them every year for over 25 years now. And yes, I've lived in San Diego and I've been in the Cleveland. There's nothing special about anything that's been done there compared to anywhere else in SoCal, which is why it was so ridiculous of you to say to begin with. And yeah, if they got 70+ mph winds in the same area that the Cedar fire burned in 22 years ago the same thing would happen today, it's down to wind and topography. Maybe some of the houses rebuilt in that area would have a better shot because of improved building codes and better awareness and mitigation, but realistically you'd still lose thousands of homes, just like before. They are not weather conditions that you can fight, it's like fighting a hurricane.

I don't need to study the Cedar fire. I was already a wildland firefighter then, and my father was on the ground fighting that fire, bumping from house to house on a USFS engine trying to save structures. At the time it was my engine and most of my crew that was there, I was off duty and out of the area or I'd have been there too. I'm well aware of what happened and why.

The area of the Palisades fire is full of fire roads, hiking trails, mountain bike trails, parks, and yes, fuels management areas. Not to mention roads and houses. I used to ride my mountain bike on those trails and drive those canyon roads for fun while I was in college. You can drive a Type 3 fire engine up and down all of those ridge tops, there are already fire roads there. It just doesn't mean dick with a 70 mph wind. You can look at Google Earth and see all the fire roads, they're very obvious. Tuna Canyon Road was one of my favorite drives in my '56 Austin Healey, I'd be out there weekly when my job and college schedule allowed. It's a super tight canyon with very steep topography and it lines right up with the Santa Ana's most times.

Those canyons are not something that lend themselves to controlled burns. They're filled with chaparral, they're surrounded by multi-million dollar homes and critical infrastructure. And yeah, you'd literally have to burn them off every 2 years to keep something like what's happening now from happening, and I'm not talking about a few hundred acres here and there, it would take burning off thousands of acres on that frequency. The areas in Malibu and Topanga that the Palisades fire has burned over already and is now approaching have been burned multiple times in just the last 5 years.

Again, you can look right at all the old fire lines, this is the map without the Palisades on it, you can see all of the roads and trails on the map, all of those houses are off the roads in the areas that haven't burned recently and are the reason why controlled burns aren't an option

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This is the map with the Palisades on it. It's burned through multiple older burn scars, some as recent as 3 or 4 years ago

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Yes, fuels management is an issue and it will continue to be. And yes, we need more controlled burns and we need to look at how and where we build and rebuild all of these houses, because some of these areas just shouldn't have homes. But the notion that these fires can be managed or mitigated in the conditions that they're having down there right now is ridiculous, and anyone that says they could prevent things like this from happening is a complete moron. Fuels management is a multi-billion dollar operation if it's going to make a difference, and it never ends because the best fuels project in the world doesn't mean anything if you don't revisit it within 5 years. It's like painting the Golden Gate, when you get to the end you just start over. Except you're talking about millions of acres of land, owned by private citizens, private companies, the state, and the federal government. And they all have to coordinate, instead of pointing fingers at who is to blame.